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Red107
476642.0
900722.2
317935.7
Blue61
588921.1
946219.7
680929.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114795010015020010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+40Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave0
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
15Coral scored#7
53Coral points26
0Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
0Processor points6
16Net points4
16Algae points10
69Total teleop36
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
6Foul points0
107Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.00.6
37.838.4
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
red by 12.6
6809
#13
29.40.9
30.029.0
Auto3.6
Teleop17.5
End8.3
Second
3179
#24
35.70.6
32.833.4
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
red by 14.6
5889
#42
21.10.7
21.821.1
Auto2.7
Teleop15.8
End2.6
Third
9007
#35
22.20.8
21.422.2
Auto3.6
Teleop16.4
End2.2
red by 2.5
9462
#23
19.70.7
19.618.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
67%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned77%Barge oddsEarned