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Red111
120926.1
713029.5
183218.5
Blue108
235240.4
1062620.4
324729.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8798406080120140160111108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+1Teleop
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
22Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
16Coral scored#19
59Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#5
6Processor points6
16Net points20
22Algae points26
81Total teleop93
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#27
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
111Total score108

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7130
#32
29.50.3
29.229.5
Auto6.1
Teleop20.3
End3.1
blue by 10.9
2352
#37
40.40.1
36.936.8
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Second
1209
#20
26.10.3
25.826.1
Auto5.8
Teleop18.7
End1.7
blue by 2.9
3247
#29
29.00.1
25.625.5
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
Third
1832
#31
18.50.4
18.118.5
Auto5.0
Teleop12.9
End0.7
blue by 1.9
20.40.2
20.620.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.6
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned49%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed