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Red56
316314.5
372922.3
509830.6
Blue78
947210.8
871120.5
176435.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions767840506070901001101205678

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+18
Endgame+20
Fouls+22
AutonomousBlue +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
7Coral scored#11
26Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
40Total teleop54
Reef
2L4#4
3L3#3
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +22
0Foul points2
56Total score78

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5098
#26
30.61.0
31.630.6
Auto6.5
Teleop19.7
End4.4
blue by 5.2
1764
#18
35.80.7
35.135.8
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
Second
3729
#34
22.31.0
23.222.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.3
End2.6
red by 1.7
8711
#44
20.50.7
19.820.5
Auto1.8
Teleop15.6
End3.1
Third
3163
#21
14.51.3
15.814.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.9
End1.3
red by 3.7
9472
#46
10.80.7
10.110.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed