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Red158
324729.0
476642.0
235240.4
Blue139
237337.8
193926.1
545441.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911990100110130140150160158139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
+15Teleop
+15Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +9
0Leave9
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points15
15Total auto24
TeleoperatedRed +24
27Coral scored#24
97Coral points85
3Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
18Processor points6
8Net points8
26Algae points14
123Total teleop99
Reef
11L4#10
8L3#7
6L2#5
5L1 · trough#5
35Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +19
6Foul points2
158Total score139

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.01.1
38.439.6
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
red by 0.3
41.70.7
41.141.9
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Second
2352
#37
40.41.1
36.837.9
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
red by 2.5
37.80.9
37.138.0
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Third
3247
#29
29.01.1
25.526.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3
red by 3.0
1939
#41
26.10.7
25.526.2
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9