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Red175
198659.3
176435.8
156161.0
Blue117
346529.7
460329.7
317935.7
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1768550100150200250175117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+66Teleop
+58Endgame
+58Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points9
37Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +44
23Coral scored#14
84Coral points50
4Processor algae#3
6Net algae#5
24Processor points18
24Net points20
48Algae points38
132Total teleop88
Reef
13L4#4
6L3#6
5L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
40Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +58
0Foul points0
175Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.00.4
61.061.4
Auto14.4
Teleop39.0
End7.6
red by 25.2
3179
#24
35.70.6
33.434.0
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
Second
59.30.4
59.359.7
Auto14.7
Teleop38.6
End6.1
red by 29.6
3465
#27
29.70.6
27.428.0
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
Third
1764
#18
35.80.4
35.836.2
Auto8.3
Teleop25.3
End2.2
red by 6.1
4603
#11
29.70.6
27.328.0
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6