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Red169
271843.8
946219.7
642464.6
Blue157
393131.9
400552.7
216528.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15013450100200250169157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+8
+12Endgame
+12Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points24
23Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +1
23Coral scored#22
82Coral points79
2Processor algae#4
5Net algae#3
12Processor points24
20Net points12
32Algae points36
114Total teleop115
Reef
13L4#10
8L3#7
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#34
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +12
6Foul points6
169Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
64.60.3
63.864.1
Auto12.3
Teleop40.8
End11.5
red by 11.9
4005
#10
52.70.3
52.052.3
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
Second
43.80.3
43.043.3
Auto10.2
Teleop29.5
End4.1
red by 11.9
3931
#14
31.90.3
31.331.6
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
Third
9462
#23
19.70.3
18.919.2
Auto5.2
Teleop8.8
End5.7
blue by 8.7
2165
#38
28.30.3
27.728.0
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2