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Red176
406869.3
452279.7
234118.0
Blue112
237337.8
193926.1
545441.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17411050100150200250176112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+38Auto
+76Teleop
+76Endgame
+64Fouls
AutonomousRed +38
3Leave3
10Coral scored#2
48Coral points10
51Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +38
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points51
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#4
18Processor points6
36Net points16
54Algae points22
111Total teleop73
Reef
7L4#4
9L3#6
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
38Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +64
0Foul points12
176Total score112

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
79.70.5
75.876.2
Auto20.0
Teleop51.7
End8.0
red by 38.0
41.70.1
41.941.7
Auto8.6
Teleop30.3
End2.8
Second
69.30.5
65.465.8
Auto20.1
Teleop45.9
End3.3
red by 31.5
37.80.2
38.037.8
Auto6.3
Teleop27.2
End4.2
Third
2341
#36
18.00.5
14.114.6
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End3.2
blue by 8.0
1939
#41
26.10.1
26.226.1
Auto5.5
Teleop17.7
End2.9