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Red161
346529.7
460329.7
317935.7
Blue150
393131.9
400552.7
216528.3
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10514350200161150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+22
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +22
6Leave6
1Coral scored#6
6Coral points28
12Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +23
23Coral scored#19
81Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#5
18Processor points12
24Net points20
42Algae points32
123Total teleop100
Reef
8L4#9
9L3#8
4L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#32
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
161Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3179
#24
35.71.2
34.035.2
Auto6.4
Teleop25.2
End4.1
blue by 16.9
4005
#10
52.70.4
52.352.7
Auto11.0
Teleop31.8
End9.8
Second
3465
#27
29.71.2
28.029.2
Auto4.6
Teleop22.6
End2.6
blue by 2.2
3931
#14
31.90.4
31.631.9
Auto8.6
Teleop21.7
End1.7
Third
4603
#11
29.71.2
28.029.2
Auto6.4
Teleop16.7
End6.6
red by 1.4
2165
#38
28.30.4
28.028.3
Auto4.1
Teleop23.1
End1.2