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Red145
208334.2
1066128.8
555050.6
Blue150
324729.0
476642.0
235240.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12711650100150200145150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+29
Endgame+11
Fouls+5
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave6
4Coral scored#5
20Coral points23
26Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +26
17Coral scored#26
61Coral points95
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
89Total teleop115
Reef
6L4#12
7L3#10
4L2#7
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#35
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +5
6Foul points0
145Total score150

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5550
#12
50.60.7
49.249.9
Auto10.4
Teleop35.5
End4.8
red by 8.6
42.01.0
39.640.6
Auto7.9
Teleop28.3
End5.7
Second
2083
#39
34.20.7
33.133.8
Auto6.9
Teleop24.3
End3.0
blue by 6.1
2352
#37
40.41.0
37.938.9
Auto4.5
Teleop33.7
End2.2
Third
28.80.7
27.428.0
Auto4.9
Teleop17.3
End6.6
blue by 0.3
3247
#29
29.01.0
26.627.6
Auto4.8
Teleop21.0
End3.3