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Red201
393763.3
234120.1
642452.7
Blue63
81127.8
94729.0
238345.6
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16059010020025020163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+102Teleop
+114Endgame
+138Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
0Leave6
7Coral scored#2
33Coral points10
33Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +85
24Coral scored#6
88Coral points23
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
118Total teleop33
Reef
11L4#3
7L3#3
10L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
37Game pieces#10
BargeRed +12
26Cage & park14
26Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +138
24Foul points0
201Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.8
62.663.3
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 17.7
45.60.2
45.845.6
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Second
52.70.8
51.952.7
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 43.7
9472
#31
9.00.2
9.29.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Third
2341
#22
20.10.8
19.320.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 12.2
8112
#20
7.80.2
8.07.8
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7