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Red165
393763.3
234120.1
642452.7
Blue90
156147.2
94729.0
238345.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1501115010020016590

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+24Auto
+65Teleop
+79Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +24
3Leave0
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points13
37Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
21Coral scored#9
76Coral points31
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
12Processor points12
12Net points16
24Algae points28
100Total teleop59
Reef
9L4#6
11L3#2
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
33Game pieces#18
BargeRed +14
26Cage & park12
26Total endgame12
Penalties & totalRed +75
2Foul points6
165Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.6
62.062.6
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 16.2
47.20.6
47.847.2
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
Second
52.70.6
51.351.9
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 7.1
45.60.5
46.345.8
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Third
2341
#22
20.10.6
18.719.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 11.1
9472
#31
9.00.6
9.89.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9