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Red127
156147.2
94729.0
238345.6
Blue109
313035.4
400546.0
946217.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11410020406080140160180127109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+4Teleop
+4Endgame
+18Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
6Coral scored#3
30Coral points14
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +6
9Coral scored#13
34Coral points48
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
6Processor points6
16Net points8
22Algae points14
56Total teleop62
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#5
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Penalties & totalRed +18
14Foul points0
127Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.3
47.547.8
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
red by 1.2
46.00.3
45.746.0
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
45.60.2
46.046.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
red by 10.2
35.40.3
35.135.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Third
9472
#31
9.00.3
9.59.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 8.4
9462
#14
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2