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Red93
545431.2
393121.9
235230.9
Blue124
313035.4
400546.0
946217.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8899608012014093124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+1
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
3Coral scored#2
16Coral points10
19Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +4
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points52
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
68Total teleop72
Reef
7L4#5
2L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
20Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +30
6Cage & park36
6Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
93Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#18
31.20.3
30.931.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
blue by 14.8
46.00.8
44.945.7
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
30.90.3
30.630.9
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
blue by 4.5
35.40.8
34.335.1
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Third
3931
#25
21.90.3
21.721.9
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 4.6
9462
#14
17.30.8
16.317.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2