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Red139
393763.3
234120.1
642452.7
Blue128
156147.2
94729.0
238345.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110850200139128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+9Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave9
4Coral scored#6
21Coral points31
30Total auto40
TeleoperatedRed +19
17Coral scored#13
61Coral points48
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#5
12Processor points6
20Net points20
32Algae points26
93Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#8
5L3#5
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#4
28Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
139Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.0
61.962.0
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 16.2
47.20.6
46.947.5
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
Second
52.70.0
51.251.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 7.1
45.60.5
45.546.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Third
2341
#22
20.10.0
18.618.7
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 11.1
9472
#31
9.00.6
8.99.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9