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Red112
238345.6
120924.4
239517.2
Blue79
156147.2
766214.4
3119.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions788520406010012014011279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+25Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
12Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +36
18Coral scored#11
66Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
12Processor points6
8Net points4
20Algae points10
86Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#6
8L3#5
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
112Total score79

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.62.5
35.037.5
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
blue by 1.6
47.20.7
33.532.8
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
Second
1209
#12
24.43.4
24.227.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 5.0
31
#26
19.40.7
23.222.5
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Third
2395
#10
17.23.4
11.214.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
red by 2.8
7662
#33
14.40.4
17.216.8
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed