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Red54
81127.8
602621.6
234120.1
Blue99
27736.8
400546.0
235230.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968204060801005499

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+47
Endgame+59
Fouls+45
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave6
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +50
4Coral scored#16
13Coral points57
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
0Processor points6
8Net points8
8Algae points14
21Total teleop71
Reef
2L4#7
1L3#3
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
7Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
20Foul points6
54Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6026
#19
21.63.0
28.625.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
blue by 24.4
46.03.3
21.825.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
2341
#22
20.11.8
20.318.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
blue by 10.8
30.93.3
20.523.8
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
Third
8112
#20
7.81.8
9.27.4
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
red by 1.0
2773
#35
6.83.3
18.621.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed31%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsEarned