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Red78
235912.2
313035.4
35079.1
Blue74
317928.4
1066117.5
216530.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7374204060801001207874

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+2Teleop
+4Endgame
+4Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points3
3Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +8
13Coral scored#9
47Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
69Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#3
5L3#3
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
19Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +4
0Foul points0
78Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.40.6
31.932.5
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
red by 5.3
2165
#23
30.10.1
21.021.1
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
2359
#38
12.20.6
16.817.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 16.3
28.40.1
23.723.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Third
3507
#36
9.10.6
15.015.6
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
blue by 8.4
17.50.1
16.416.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed