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Red60
1067414.4
903113.2
366023.6
Blue34
31609.5
452317.8
233311.7
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3678020601001201401606034

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+26Teleop
+26Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
6Leave6
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
15Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +17
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points20
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
41Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#3
4L3#1
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#7
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
0Foul points0
60Total score34

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3660
#11
23.62.1
17.519.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
red by 5.9
4523
#21
17.84.1
21.617.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
14.42.1
13.215.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 2.8
2333
#39
11.74.1
22.718.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Third
9031
#15
13.21.2
5.66.8
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
red by 3.7
3160
#40
9.54.1
20.216.1
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
17%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed41%Barge oddsMissed