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Red12
87608.4
94729.0
346514.9
Blue28
208012.2
239517.2
452317.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6357203040507080901228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+10
Fouls+16
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +7
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points10
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
3Total teleop10
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#1
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#0
3Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +16
0Foul points6
12Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3465
#28
14.94.5
19.515.0
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
blue by 2.9
4523
#21
17.83.0
17.614.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
9472
#31
9.04.5
18.313.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 8.2
2395
#10
17.23.0
14.611.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
8760
#41
8.43.0
14.311.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
blue by 3.7
2080
#30
12.23.0
16.513.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsMissed23%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed39%Barge oddsMissed