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Red42
238345.6
27736.8
233311.7
Blue54
35079.1
970113.6
120924.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions936102040801001201401604254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave0
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points6
16Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +34
1Coral scored#7
4Coral points24
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
4Total teleop38
Reef
1L4#3
1L3#3
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +12
6Foul points6
42Total score54

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#2Sur
45.63.1
37.534.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
red by 21.2
1209
#12
24.40.8
27.626.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
Second
2333
#39
11.74.7
18.614.0
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9701
#29
13.60.8
12.311.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Third
2773
#35
6.84.7
21.817.2
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 2.3
3507
#36Sur
9.10.8
15.614.7
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
49%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsMissed