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Red78
81127.8
216530.1
1067414.4
Blue82
317928.4
903113.2
766214.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505801001502007882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+2
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +5
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points45
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
58Total teleop63
Reef
4L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
78Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#23
30.10.6
21.121.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 1.7
28.41.5
23.825.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Second
14.40.6
15.315.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Level
7662
#33Sur
14.40.9
16.817.7
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Third
8112
#20Sur
7.80.4
7.47.8
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 5.4
9031
#15
13.20.9
6.87.7
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed