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Red47
452317.8
3119.4
903113.2
Blue115
313035.4
545431.2
602621.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5797015020047115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+64
Endgame+66
Fouls+68
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +58
6Coral scored#16
23Coral points59
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
0Processor points6
4Net points20
4Algae points26
27Total teleop85
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#6
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
8Game pieces#24
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +68
0Foul points2
47Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31
#26
19.41.4
24.623.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End6.3
blue by 16.0
35.42.8
29.231.9
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Second
4523
#21
17.81.4
23.021.6
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 13.4
5454
#18
31.22.8
27.330.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
Third
9031
#15
13.20.9
6.55.6
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
blue by 8.5
6026
#19
21.62.8
25.828.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
33%Auto oddsMissed56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsEarned44%Barge oddsEarned