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Red20
946217.3
31609.5
239517.2
Blue57
235230.9
1066117.5
871114.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72690501001502057

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+37
Endgame+37
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave9
1Coral scored#0
6Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +34
2Coral scored#9
8Coral points32
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
0Processor points6
0Net points4
0Algae points10
8Total teleop42
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#2
3Game pieces#11
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points0
20Total score57

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9462
#14
17.35.4
20.515.1
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 13.5
30.91.4
21.920.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
Second
2395
#10
17.25.4
16.611.2
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
blue by 0.3
17.512.3
28.816.4
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
3160
#40
9.55.4
25.620.2
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 5.0
8711
#13
14.51.4
20.719.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
43%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
34%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsMissed