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Red31
393121.9
235912.2
27736.8
Blue38
871114.5
1067414.4
452317.8
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706101001502002503138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+9
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +12
3Coral scored#6
12Coral points22
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
16Total teleop28
Reef
2L4#2
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
5Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
31Total score38

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3931
#25
21.93.9
22.218.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 4.2
4523
#21
17.82.7
14.611.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Second
2359
#38
12.23.9
17.413.5
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
blue by 2.3
8711
#13
14.52.7
20.517.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
Third
2773
#35
6.83.9
17.213.3
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 7.6
14.42.7
15.913.2
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
34%Auto oddsMissed44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed26%Barge oddsMissed