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Red35
970113.6
963111.5
81127.8
Blue40
324719.1
35079.1
239517.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295702040801001203540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+5Teleop
+7Endgame
Fouls+5
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +2
5Coral scored#4
18Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
0Processor points6
4Net points0
4Algae points6
22Total teleop20
Reef
2L4#2
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#6
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +5
0Foul points12
35Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9701
#29
13.60.6
11.512.1
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 5.5
3247
#17
19.12.7
20.217.5
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
9631
#37
11.50.6
10.711.2
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
blue by 5.7
2395
#10
17.22.7
11.68.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
8112
#20
7.80.3
7.88.1
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 1.3
3507
#36
9.12.7
14.712.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed15%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsEarned