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Red92
233311.7
642452.7
208012.2
Blue120
313035.4
946217.3
216530.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8890708010011012092120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+28
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points4
20Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +25
11Coral scored#20
38Coral points71
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
66Total teleop91
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#8
2L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +28
2Foul points0
92Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.70.0
47.447.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 17.3
35.42.8
35.738.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Second
2080
#30
12.20.1
13.513.5
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
blue by 17.9
2165
#23
30.12.8
21.724.5
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Third
2333
#39
11.70.1
14.013.9
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
blue by 5.7
9462
#14
17.32.8
19.021.8
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsEarned