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Red93
766214.4
1066117.5
393763.3
Blue33
87608.4
234120.1
3119.4
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions106490204060801201401609333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+56Teleop
+54Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +42
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points14
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
60Total teleop18
Reef
6L4#2
3L3#2
3L2#0
2L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
6Foul points0
93Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.2
53.253.0
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 43.3
2341
#22
20.11.2
17.416.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Second
17.50.3
15.415.2
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
blue by 1.9
31
#26
19.42.1
20.318.2
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Third
7662
#33
14.40.2
17.717.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
red by 6.0
8760
#41
8.41.2
11.310.1
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsMissed