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Red135
238345.6
400546.0
235912.2
Blue88
31609.5
569038.6
181918.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions887102040608010012014016013588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+47Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +31
18Coral scored#14
65Coral points50
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
12Processor points12
24Net points8
36Algae points20
101Total teleop70
Reef
8L4#5
4L3#5
6L2#5
4L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#20
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +47
0Foul points0
135Total score88

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.05.2
28.633.8
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 7.4
38.60.7
32.433.1
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Second
45.63.1
34.337.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
red by 27.6
1819
#27
18.01.2
17.118.3
Auto3.2
Teleop12.9
End1.9
Third
2359
#38
12.25.2
13.518.7
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 2.7
3160
#40
9.51.2
13.915.1
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed