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Red81
317928.4
871114.5
393121.9
Blue73
903113.2
346514.9
545431.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7664020401001208173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+4Teleop
+14Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
11Coral scored#8
41Coral points28
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
59Total teleop52
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
15Game pieces#14
BargeRed +10
16Cage & park6
16Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
0Foul points6
81Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.41.0
25.326.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 2.8
5454
#18
31.20.4
28.629.0
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
Second
3931
#25
21.91.0
18.319.3
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 7.1
3465
#28
14.90.4
15.015.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
8711
#13
14.51.0
17.818.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
red by 1.3
9031
#15
13.20.2
7.78.0
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned