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Red50
120924.4
366023.6
94729.0
Blue75
1021928.7
602621.6
235230.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7288204060801001201405075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+33
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave9
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#11
20Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
6Processor points12
4Net points8
10Algae points20
30Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
50Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1209
#12
24.41.6
26.825.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
blue by 6.5
30.90.2
24.224.0
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
Second
3660
#11
23.61.6
21.119.5
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
blue by 5.1
28.70.1
22.822.7
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9472
#31
9.01.6
13.912.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 12.7
6026
#19
21.60.2
27.127.0
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed