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Red69
545431.2
81127.8
946217.3
Blue28
346514.9
970113.6
235912.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions745502040801001206928

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
3Leave3
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +14
6Coral scored#3
22Coral points12
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
30Total teleop16
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
12Foul points2
69Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#18
31.20.8
29.028.2
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
red by 16.3
3465
#28
14.92.9
15.412.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
9462
#14
17.30.8
21.821.0
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
red by 3.7
9701
#29
13.62.9
12.19.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Third
8112
#20
7.80.5
8.17.6
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 4.4
2359
#38
12.22.9
18.715.8
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsEarned10%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed