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Red124
400546.0
1021928.7
317928.4
Blue62
208012.2
963111.5
235230.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9947015012462

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+44Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave9
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points3
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
13Coral scored#8
45Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
12Processor points6
20Net points8
32Algae points14
77Total teleop44
Reef
6L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#12
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
124Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.04.6
33.838.4
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 15.1
30.91.5
24.025.5
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
Second
28.72.7
22.725.4
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 16.5
2080
#30
12.21.5
13.515.0
Auto3.7
Teleop6.7
End1.8
Third
28.44.6
26.330.9
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
red by 16.9
9631
#37
11.51.5
11.212.7
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
21%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed