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Red110
452317.8
313035.4
924416.7
Blue104
366023.6
766214.4
569038.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7687204060100120140110104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+2Teleop
0Endgame0
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +5
12Coral scored#15
44Coral points55
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#4
18Processor points6
20Net points16
38Algae points22
82Total teleop77
Reef
3L4#5
5L3#7
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +2
16Cage & park18
16Total endgame18
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
6Foul points0
110Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.43.4
38.641.9
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
blue by 3.2
38.61.7
33.134.9
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Second
4523
#21
17.83.4
11.915.3
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
blue by 5.9
3660
#11
23.62.9
19.522.3
Auto4.1
Teleop14.6
End4.9
Third
9244
#24
16.73.4
14.517.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 2.3
7662
#33
14.41.7
17.519.2
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed78%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
62%Barge oddsEarned8%Barge oddsEarned