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Red110
156147.2
871114.5
120924.4
Blue65
233311.7
324719.1
1066117.5
96%Model gave it4%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10652015011065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+39Teleop
+47Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +25
16Coral scored#8
57Coral points30
2Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
12Processor points6
4Net points12
16Algae points18
73Total teleop48
Reef
10L4#3
4L3#2
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#12
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
0Foul points2
110Total score65

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.22.0
40.042.0
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
red by 28.1
3247
#17
19.10.9
17.518.4
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Second
1209
#12
24.42.0
25.127.1
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 6.9
17.50.9
15.216.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
Third
8711
#13
14.52.0
18.820.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
red by 2.8
2333
#39
11.70.9
13.914.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsMissed