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Red180
903113.2
393763.3
400546.0
Blue19
35079.1
346514.9
27736.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1253505010015020018019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+89Teleop
+101Endgame
+161Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave0
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +68
17Coral scored#2
62Coral points6
0Processor algae#0
3Net algae#0
0Processor points0
12Net points0
12Algae points0
74Total teleop6
Reef
8L4#2
8L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#0
26Game pieces#4
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +161
60Foul points0
180Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.31.1
53.955.0
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 48.5
3465
#28
14.92.4
12.610.1
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Second
46.01.9
38.440.3
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
red by 36.9
3507
#36
9.12.4
13.411.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Third
9031
#15
13.21.1
8.09.1
Auto3.7
Teleop7.4
End2.1
red by 6.4
2773
#35
6.82.4
11.99.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
79%Barge oddsEarned36%Barge oddsMissed