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Red114
216530.1
235230.9
569038.6
Blue93
545431.2
239517.2
970113.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1155905010015011493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
+23Teleop
+21Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousBlue +5
3Leave6
3Coral scored#3
15Coral points17
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +28
17Coral scored#10
60Coral points36
2Processor algae#2
5Net algae#4
12Processor points12
20Net points16
32Algae points28
92Total teleop64
Reef
6L4#7
7L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points0
114Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.7
34.935.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 7.4
5454
#18
31.23.2
28.231.4
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
Second
30.91.2
25.526.7
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
red by 13.7
2395
#10
17.23.2
12.615.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
2165
#23
30.11.2
28.729.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 16.5
9701
#29
13.63.2
9.212.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned34%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed34%Barge oddsMissed