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Red22
602621.6
946217.3
766214.4
Blue101
238345.6
924416.7
317928.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74105406012014016018022101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+24
Teleop+55
Endgame+79
Fouls+79
AutonomousBlue +24
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
6Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#10
10Coral points37
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
14Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#5
1L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
5Game pieces#17
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +79
0Foul points0
22Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6026
#19
21.65.5
27.922.4
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
blue by 24.0
45.60.4
40.040.4
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Second
9462
#14
17.35.5
21.015.5
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2
blue by 11.1
28.40.7
30.931.6
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Third
7662
#33
14.43.3
19.216.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
blue by 2.3
9244
#24
16.70.7
17.918.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed80%Barge oddsEarned