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Red74
313035.4
393121.9
120924.4
Blue26
1067414.4
31609.5
94729.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1094401001507426

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+40Teleop
+42Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave3
2Coral scored#0
9Coral points0
9Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +34
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points11
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
49Total teleop15
Reef
4L4#1
4L3#0
3L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#4
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
12Foul points6
74Total score26

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.43.3
41.938.6
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
red by 21.0
14.42.7
14.011.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Second
1209
#12
24.43.3
27.123.8
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 14.9
3160
#40
9.52.7
13.711.1
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Third
3931
#25
21.93.3
20.116.8
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
red by 13.0
9472
#31
9.02.7
13.210.5
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
44%Auto oddsMissed37%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsMissed18%Barge oddsMissed