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Red134
239517.2
1021928.7
393763.3
Blue60
970113.6
313035.4
1067414.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1186805010015020013460

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+72Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
13Coral points9
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +62
20Coral scored#7
71Coral points25
2Processor algae#0
4Net algae#3
12Processor points0
16Net points12
28Algae points12
99Total teleop37
Reef
10L4#3
7L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
29Game pieces#12
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
134Total score60

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.32.5
55.057.5
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 27.9
35.40.3
38.638.4
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Second
28.72.5
26.328.8
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
red by 14.2
14.40.3
11.411.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
Third
2395
#10
17.24.1
15.819.9
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
red by 3.5
9701
#29
13.60.3
12.412.2
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
31%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsEarned16%Barge oddsEarned