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Red86
569038.6
317928.4
642452.7
Blue48
31609.5
120924.4
234120.1
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1474601002008648

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+28Teleop
+38Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +25
10Coral scored#9
37Coral points32
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#0
6Processor points6
20Net points0
26Algae points6
63Total teleop38
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#4
1L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#11
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +38
0Foul points0
86Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.72.5
50.748.3
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 28.3
1209
#12
24.41.2
23.822.6
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
Second
38.62.5
35.633.1
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 18.5
2341
#22
20.10.7
17.717.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Third
28.44.1
31.627.5
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
red by 18.9
3160
#40
9.51.2
11.19.9
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsMissed