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Red45
766214.4
324719.1
924416.7
Blue28
235912.2
602621.6
233311.7
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72640501001502002503004528

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+25Teleop
+23Endgame
+17Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +22
7Coral scored#3
24Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
6Processor points0
4Net points0
10Algae points0
34Total teleop12
Reef
2L4#1
3L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#4
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +17
0Foul points6
45Total score28

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3247
#17
19.12.4
23.320.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 2.5
6026
#19
21.64.2
22.418.2
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Second
9244
#24
16.72.4
18.616.2
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
red by 4.5
2359
#38
12.24.0
17.113.1
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
Third
7662
#33
14.41.5
16.014.5
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
red by 2.7
2333
#39
11.74.2
12.98.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed14%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed