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Red104
235230.9
156147.2
313035.4
Blue31
81127.8
3119.4
393121.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13848010015020010431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+59Teleop
+67Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +65
16Coral scored#3
56Coral points9
1Processor algae#0
4Net algae#1
6Processor points0
16Net points4
22Algae points4
78Total teleop13
Reef
5L4#1
6L3#1
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#5
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
6Foul points0
104Total score31

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.21.6
47.245.6
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
red by 25.2
3931
#25
21.92.0
19.817.8
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Second
35.41.6
38.436.8
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
red by 16.0
31
#26
19.42.0
24.122.1
Auto4.6
Teleop8.5
End6.3
Third
30.91.6
27.726.1
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
red by 23.1
8112
#20
7.81.3
6.65.3
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsMissed43%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsMissed