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Red47
924416.7
1067414.4
1066117.5
Blue95
400546.0
324719.1
81127.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions518702040601001201401604795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+34
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +27
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
6Processor points6
0Net points8
6Algae points14
36Total teleop63
Reef
2L4#7
3L3#3
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
10Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
47Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.50.3
17.917.6
Auto3.5
Teleop12.9
End1.1
blue by 28.6
46.02.0
43.245.2
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
9244
#24
16.70.3
14.714.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
blue by 2.5
3247
#17
19.12.0
20.922.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
14.40.3
14.714.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.7
End0.7
red by 6.6
8112
#20
7.81.4
7.18.5
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
42%Auto oddsMissed39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned