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Red71
156147.2
970113.6
31609.5
Blue105
313035.4
346514.9
317928.4
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions749040608010012014071105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+16
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
Autonomouslevel
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points7
16Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +16
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points41
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#4
6Processor points12
4Net points16
10Algae points28
53Total teleop69
Reef
7L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#18
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
71Total score105

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.4
45.646.1
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
red by 11.8
35.42.0
36.838.8
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Second
9701
#29
13.60.4
11.011.4
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 14.8
28.42.0
27.729.8
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Third
3160
#40
9.50.4
9.810.2
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
blue by 5.4
3465
#28
14.92.0
13.615.6
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned18%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed59%Barge oddsEarned