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Red113
871114.5
216530.1
1021928.7
Blue158
393763.3
234120.1
238345.6
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8114050100150200113158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+41
Endgame+63
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +10
0Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +31
18Coral scored#22
63Coral points80
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
6Processor points12
16Net points24
22Algae points36
85Total teleop116
Reef
5L4#7
6L3#9
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#31
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +45
18Foul points0
113Total score158

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#23
30.10.1
27.827.7
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
blue by 33.3
63.31.3
57.658.9
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
Second
28.70.1
28.728.7
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
blue by 16.9
45.61.3
42.844.2
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
Third
8711
#13
14.50.1
16.116.0
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1
blue by 5.5
2341
#22
20.11.3
16.217.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
31%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed44%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed83%Barge oddsEarned