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Red70
181918.0
235912.2
239517.2
Blue99
27736.8
642452.7
602621.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions589602040801201407099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+15
Endgame+23
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +6
6Leave0
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points6
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +21
9Coral scored#14
32Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
46Total teleop67
Reef
4L4#5
4L3#5
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
6Foul points12
70Total score99

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1819
#27
18.00.6
21.220.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 34.6
52.70.4
49.949.5
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
Second
2395
#10
17.20.6
18.417.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
blue by 4.5
6026
#19
21.60.5
20.119.6
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Third
2359
#38
12.20.6
13.112.4
Auto2.7
Teleop7.6
End1.9
red by 5.4
2773
#35
6.80.5
7.67.1
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsEarned