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Red126
569038.6
452317.8
238345.6
Blue80
963111.5
233311.7
156147.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1167605010015020012680

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+38Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
3Coral scored#0
16Coral points0
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
20Coral scored#14
73Coral points51
2Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
12Processor points6
8Net points8
20Algae points14
93Total teleop65
Reef
8L4#5
6L3#3
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
27Game pieces#17
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
126Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.61.2
44.245.3
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
blue by 1.6
47.20.1
46.146.0
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
Second
38.61.2
36.437.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 26.9
2333
#39
11.70.1
11.711.7
Auto1.7
Teleop8.8
End1.2
Third
4523
#21
17.81.6
16.417.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
red by 6.2
9631
#37
11.50.1
11.611.5
Auto1.9
Teleop7.2
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned59%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned23%Barge oddsMissed