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Red138
216530.1
393763.3
970113.6
Blue90
924416.7
393121.9
602621.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12358010015020013890

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+36Teleop
+48Endgame
+48Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
9Leave0
3Coral scored#2
14Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +25
22Coral scored#12
79Coral points42
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
12Processor points12
8Net points20
20Algae points32
99Total teleop74
Reef
7L4#6
7L3#5
6L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
29Game pieces#21
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +48
0Foul points0
138Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.31.7
58.960.6
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 41.4
3931
#25
21.92.4
17.820.2
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3
Second
2165
#23
30.12.2
27.729.9
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
red by 8.5
6026
#19
21.62.2
19.621.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Third
9701
#29
13.62.2
11.413.6
Auto3.9
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 3.0
9244
#24
16.72.2
14.416.7
Auto3.3
Teleop10.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
45%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
31%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed