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Red57
181918.0
317928.4
120924.4
Blue70
346514.9
239517.2
400546.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87896070801001101201305770

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+11
Endgame+21
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +4
9Leave9
1Coral scored#1
7Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +15
5Coral scored#9
17Coral points34
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
27Total teleop42
Reef
3L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
8Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
8Foul points0
57Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.42.5
29.827.2
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 17.6
46.00.8
45.244.4
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
1209
#12
24.42.5
27.124.5
Auto5.2
Teleop17.5
End1.7
red by 7.2
2395
#10
17.20.8
17.817.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1
Third
1819
#27
18.02.5
20.618.0
Auto3.2
Teleop12.9
End1.9
red by 3.2
3465
#28
14.90.8
15.614.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned56%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned