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Red66
234120.1
545431.2
27736.8
Blue27
324719.1
87608.4
313035.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61872040801001201406627

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+33Teleop
+33Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
3Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +19
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points8
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
27Total teleop8
Reef
3L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +39
12Foul points6
66Total score27

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5454
#18
31.20.3
29.729.5
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
blue by 4.2
35.45.0
38.833.8
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Second
2341
#22
20.10.2
17.517.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 0.9
3247
#17
19.15.0
22.917.9
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
Third
2773
#35
6.80.3
7.16.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.7
End1.2
blue by 1.6
8760
#41
8.43.7
12.28.4
Auto3.4
Teleop5.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsEarned26%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned